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People inherently think of a question as something to be asked. It is hard to even conceptualize that it needs to be defined. What is the defnition of the question?
Questions are a realized lack of knowledge structure. Knowledge is logical structure. Any time there is a realization of a lack of logic a question is formed.
Questions are at the cutting edge of things we know. There are two kinds of questions, 1) Learning Questions and 2) Knowledge Creation Questions.
Learning questions are asked about knowledge that exists. Knowledge creation questions are asked about knowledge that does not yet exist.
As such, questions are either the door to learning or the door to new knowledge and social advance.
As a door to social advance, the question is behind all human achievement, past, present, and future. By mechanizing knowledge creation questions, human achievement will explode.
A Slow Burn - 2008 was a ‘fast burn’ in that the events came on quickly and were very unexpected. 2009 will be a ’slow burn’ with continuing economic turmoil, but overall less dramatic, at least through the first 3 quarters. Contrary to the predictions of a lot of other futurists, society didn’t collapse in February/March of 2009. That said, though, the same problems from late 2008 have continued to fester.
A study done by Yair Amichai-Hamburger of the Sammy Ofer School of Communication in Herzliya, Israel found them to be very disagreeable to new ideas. In an article entitled Psychologist finds Wikipedians Grumpy and Closed-Minded, Amichai-Hamburger postulates that wikipedians contribute because “It is their way to have a voice in this world.” …and that their motive is egocentric and not altruistic.
The thought of a shared central knowledge base for all of humanity is an altruistic one, that just simply not what Wikipedia is.
A Slow Burn - 2008 was a ‘fast burn’ in that the events came on quickly and were very unexpected. 2009 will be a ’slow burn’ with continuing economic turmoil, but overall less dramatic, at least through the first 3 quarters.
Deepening Recession - 2009 will be a year of continued and deepening recession.We will see more companies close their doors in first half of 2009 and all U.S. states will squarely enter the recession. The states already in recession will see deeper impacts.
Rise in Crime Rates - There will be a rise in crime rates, especially theft and violent crime.
Inflation - Inflation is more likely now than deflation. Some believe hyperinflation, but I don’t think we’re there yet.
Seeding - 2009 will be a year of seeding. Seeding Web 3.0 (and beyond) technologies, cottage industries, instant manufacturing, and open-source economic development.
Deepening Community - As the bulwarks of traditional society fail, look for a deepening of dependency on the local community. Being connected locally will become much more important and the recession iself could bring on a shift in personal values.
Transformation or Bust - 2009 will see the continued move from hierarchies to networks. The dilemna of traditional newspapers that is coming into the headlines now is exemplary of the pressures that every industry is experiencing. Web sales and media usage will continue to expand and traditional sales and media usage will continue to decline. How well we ‘transform’ will determine the outcome that will surface in Q4 of 2009. We need to sow seeds of change now or the U.S. could experience a permanent decline on the world stage.
Rise of Consumer Unions - Consumer unions will continue to emerge and will steadily gain power.
Overall - 2009 overall will be a steady year of somewhat painful transformation. Q4, in th October/November timeframe will be the next big shift, in either a positive or negative direction, depending on how well we transform.
I just got back from my first trip to London where I attended a conference with people across Europe. Several things were very intriguing to me, but the most compelling was the fact that most European people I met were more in tune with the issues in American elections than most U.S. people I know. People in the UK were particularly passionate about the outcome of U.S. elections and were very interested to hear an American perspective. They had very pointed political viewpoints and were eager to share these.
I found myself really struggling to understand the fundametal difference between the U.S. and other nations. The best thing I could come up with is that we are, and have always been, strong on innovation and ideas. This has made our country the driving force in the world. I also concluded that there have been forces at work in our country that stifle innovation and that this is a primary cause for all of the instability we are experiencing today.
Just my opinion here, but the way our social system works, if the U.S. isn’t leading and innovating it is falling.
The recent economic strain on the U.S. and global society is an excellent an example of how futures unfold. There are three aspects of any society that combine to create it’s future:
Society
Economy
Knowledge
When any one of these areas create imbalance, the impacts reverberate through the entire system. The recent economic meltdown spilled over into society and has started to slow the advance of technology, which will eventually slow technological advance, or the advance of knowledge in society.
One might think the economic imbalance just occurred, but in fact, the economic imbalance is actually swinging like a pendulum from overindulgence, inflated value, and greed–toward–need, collapsing value a social values wakeup call. …From boom to bust.
If we look at the global impact of this crisis, the nation least impacted are more balanced or disconnected entirely from the economic grid. See this BBC Article: Financial Crisis: World Round-up for individual country impacts.
